NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated November 29, 2022
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Batchelor | 21 | 18 | 63.6% | 1 | 29.6 | 2 |
| 1 | Nick Boucher | 21 | 18 | 63.6% | 1 | 32.4 | 1 |
| 3 | Andrew Moeller | 20 | 16 | 57.1% | 3 | 28.2 | 3 |
| 4 | Karl Loiseau | 17 | 18 | 51.5% | 4 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 5 | Steve Creaser | 16 | 17 | 47.1% | 6 | 25.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Matt Hogel | 16 | 18 | 48.5% | 5 | 24.6 | 6 |
| 5 | Mike Thorne | 16 | 16 | 45.7% | 7 | 24.3 | 7 |
| 8 | Gavin Gray | 15 | 17 | 44.1% | 8 | 22.7 | 8 |
| 9 | Dan Ellenberger | 13 | 18 | 39.4% | 9 | 19.2 | 10 |
| 9 | Luke Phelan | 13 | 17 | 38.2% | 10 | 20.0 | 9 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 8 | 12.3 | @ NE | 0.69 |
| New York Giants | 7 | 9.3 | WAS | 0.45 |
| New England Patriots | 6 | 8.0 | BUF | 0.31 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 10 | 14.0 | TEN | 0.72 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 7 | 11.2 | DEN | 0.75 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 4 | 7.2 | @ DET | 0.54 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 9 | 12.7 | NYJ | 0.61 |
| Washington Commanders | 7 | 9.0 | @ NYG | 0.55 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 6.5 | BYE | |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 7 | 11.0 | MIA | 0.64 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 6 | 9.6 | @ LV | 0.59 |
| Cleveland Browns | 4 | 7.4 | @ HOU | 0.73 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Tennessee Titans | 7 | 9.8 | @ PHI | 0.28 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5 | 8.2 | NO | 0.7 |
| Detroit Lions | 4 | 6.6 | JAK | 0.46 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 8 | 12.7 | IND | 0.79 |
| Carolina Panthers | 4 | 5.7 | BYE | |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 5.9 | @ DAL | 0.21 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 9 | 13.7 | @ CIN | 0.59 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 4 | 7.2 | LAC | 0.41 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 4.6 | GB | |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 7 | 10.3 | KC | 0.41 |
| New Orleans Saints | 4 | 6.2 | @ TB | 0.3 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 4 | 6.2 | @ ATL | 0.45 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| New York Jets | 7 | 9.2 | @ MIN | 0.39 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 4.5 | @ BAL | 0.25 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 5.5 | SEA | 0.34 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 8 | 11.1 | @ SF | 0.36 |
| Green Bay Packers | 4 | 6.9 | @ CHI | |
| Houston Texans | 1 | 2.0 | CLE | 0.27 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 8 | 1 | 10 | -2 | 3 |
| New England Patriots | 6 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| New York Giants | 7 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 10 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 4 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 4 | 10 | 7 | -3 | 9 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 9 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 7 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 6 | 8 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 7 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 4 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 9 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 4 | 16 | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 5 | 4 | 8 | -3 | 13 |
| Tennessee Titans | 7 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Detroit Lions | 4 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 8 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 2 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 4 | 14 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
| Carolina Panthers | 4 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 7 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 4 |
| New Orleans Saints | 4 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 4 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 25 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 13 | 7 | -4 | 16 |
| New York Jets | 7 | 30 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 4 | 5 | 8 | -4 | 14 |
| Miami Dolphins | 8 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Houston Texans | 1 | 26 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
Draft Results
